BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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William & Mary

Class: 1B Class Rank: 51 Conference: Colonial Athletic Association Record: (3-5) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength =  113.31

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2016 Away    L   114.35  14  48   1A  36 (  7-  6) North Carolina St       0.95 *  -34.95                      
  2 09/10/2016 Away    W   105.67  24  14   1B 107 (  5-  6) Hampton                -7.73     17.73                      
  3 09/17/2016 Home    W   111.58  35  10   1B 112 (  4-  7) Norfolk St             -1.82     26.82                      
  4 09/24/2016 Home    L *  76.46  10  27   1B 102 (  2-  9) Elon                  -36.94     19.94                      
  5 10/01/2016 Away    L * 113.79  12  21   1B  28 (  8-  5) New Hampshire           0.39     -9.39                      
  6 10/08/2016 Away    L * 137.52  24  31   1B   3 ( 13-  1) James Madison          24.12    -31.12                      
  7 10/15/2016 Home    W * 118.26  24  17   1B  55 (  4-  7) Delaware                4.86      2.14                      
  8 10/29/2016 Home    L * 106.94  28  35   1B  42 (  6-  5) Maine                  -6.46     -0.54                      
  9 11/05/2016 Away    W * 119.72  14   9   1B  53 (  5-  6) Stony Brook             6.32     -1.32                      
 10 11/12/2016 Away    L * 101.45  24  34   1B  64 (  4-  7) Towson                -11.95      1.95                      
 11 11/19/2016 Home    W * 141.67  34  13   1B  21 ( 10-  4) Richmond               28.27     -7.27                      
      Averages             113.40  22.1 23.5

Best game:  141.67 = 21 point win over Richmond
Worst game:  76.46 = 17 point loss to Elon
Team stdev:  17.48